S&P 500 4,755.5 +.80% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- Russell 2000 2,035.0 +2.5%
- NYSE FANG+ 8,729.9 +1.4%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 444.9 +5.7%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 162.7 +1.8%
- Wilshire 5000 47,669.9 +.94%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,049.3 +.95%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,622.19 +.75%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 754.17 +.61%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 142.06 +.25%
- NYSE Technology 4,310.2 +.74%
- Transports 16,080.1 +.37%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 91.0 +.94%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.29 -1.6%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 192.99 +2.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 106.84 +.82%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 473,220 +.43%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.9 +101.9%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 259 -1,604
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -20.9 +10.4%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 151,599 -10.3%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,645,245 -.01%
- ISE Sentiment 137.0 -8.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.28 -24.9%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 55.5 -3.3%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index n/a
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index -.27 -67.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 13.4 +8.6%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing n/a
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 20.4 +10.1%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.07 -1.5%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.83 -1.4%
- Smart Money Flow Index 14,238.6 -1.69%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 97.3 +19.3
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.870 Trillion -.3%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$11.073 Million
- AAII % Bears 20.9 +8.3%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 78.0(Extreme Greed) -2.0
Futures Spot Prices
- Crude Oil 73.73/bbl. +2.65%
- Reformulated Gasoline 213.55 +.13%
- Natural Gas 2.59 +5.59%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 34.17 euros/megawatt-hour +2.97%
- Heating Oil 266.52 +1.6%
- Newcastle Coal 141.3 (1,000/metric ton) -1.9%
- Gold 2,053.61 +1.70%
- Silver 24.15 +1.3%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 414.04 +.02%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 423.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.24%
- China Iron Ore Spot 138.1 USD/Metric Tonne +4.3
%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,509.98 -1.8%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 322.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4Q Forecast +2.68% +7.0 basis points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.36 +18.6%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 161.3 +207.0%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(17 of 500 reporting) +13.5% +1.2 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 242.75 +.42: Growth
Rate +11.3% +1.9 percentage points, P/E 19.6 +.1 - S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.04% -3.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) +n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 287.93 -5.31: Growth Rate +35.0% -2.5 percentage points, P/E 30.4 +1.2
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 18.2 +4.4 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -42.9 -1.1 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 18.3 -1.8 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 14.5%(+14.2 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 85.5%(-4.2 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 1/31
- US Dollar Index 101.79 -.78%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,724.38 -.11%
- Bitcoin/USD 43,719.3 +4.40%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 168.50 +1.44%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -43.0 +11.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.90% -2.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $7.688 Trillion -.2%
- Federal Reserve’s Discount Window Usage $2.185 Billion +6.2%
- Federal Reserve’s Bank Term Funding Program $131.335 Billion +6.1%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.84 -.16%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 169.90 +.91%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 158.0 -13.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.412 -.66%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 60.89 +.59%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 133.22 -3.4%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 110.0 +.99%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 26.76 -1.9%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.05 -6.8%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 78.84 +1.2%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.1% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.0% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.02% -.41 percentage point: CPI YoY +3.33% -.05 percentage point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.20% -2.0 basis points
- TED Spread 27.0 +1.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -22.0 -2.75 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.0 unch.
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 55.56 -3.0%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 164.0 -3.1%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 319.0 -55.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 68.13 -.66%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 208.90 +1.2%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 166.84 -3.2%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 144.0 -2.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 963.0 unch.
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .79 -3.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.3% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,262.2 +1.6%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 212,000 -.7%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 51.1 -1.0%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.06% -15.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 191,600 -1.49%
- Weekly Retail Sales +3.30% +10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -2.0% -1.0 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross $117.4M -13.1%
- Nationwide Gas $3.13/gallon +.04/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,087.0 -11.1%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 879.75 +1.2%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 32.5 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 35.8 -5.2%
- Rail Freight Carloads 268,134 -.57%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,638,639 +17.4%
Best Performing Style
Worst Performing Style
Leading Sectors
- Steel +4.9%
- Digital Health +3.2%
Lagging Sectors
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (16)
- KRTX, NMRA, HUT, ANSS, MARA, ALTR, RYZB, RIOT, AXSM, PLSE, NBIX, IEP, COIN, BROS and LQDA
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (14)
- SAVA, TTD, CROX, MIRM, TAL, EDU, SMCI, BILI, LGF, RILY, AIR, NKE, NTES and MULN
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change