S&P 500 4,604.2 +.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • Russell 2000 1,881.0 +.93%
  • NYSE FANG+ 8,296.0 +1.1% 
  • Roundhill Meme Stock ETF 38.93 +5.4%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 143.6 +1.4%
  • Wilshire 5000 45,931.2 +.24%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,957.4 +.72%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,559.43 -.35%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 738.31 -1.2%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,325.49 +.83%
  • NYSE Technology 4,116.8 +.74%
  • Transports 15,240.6 -1.4%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 90.29 +1.8%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 39.01 -1.6%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 188.60 -.06%


  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 106.19 -.51%

Sentiment/Internals

  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 464,548 +.63%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.6 +103.8%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 46 -94
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -26.9 +6.4%

  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 183,171 -11.7%

  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,563,737 +.65%
  • ISE Sentiment 113.0 -14.0 points
  • NYSE Arms .68 -25.0%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 60.4 -.66%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .62 +10.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .32 +9.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.6 -1.6%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing .55% -43.0%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 20.54 -4.0%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.0 +7.1%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.92 +1.2%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 13,755.14 +3.8%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  76.1 -5.3
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.898 Trillion +1.1%

  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$6.307 Million

Futures Spot Prices

  • Crude Oil 71.28/bbl. -4.3%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 205.27 -3.1%
  • Natural Gas 2.56 -6.7%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 38.6 euros/megawatt-hour -12.0%
  • Heating Oil 258.03 -3.2% 
  • Newcastle Coal 153.7 (1,000/metric ton) +13.4%
  • Gold 2,000.24 -3.4%
  • Silver 23.03 -9.6%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 398.0 -3.5%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 430.0 USD/Metric Tonne +12.3%


  • China Iron Ore Spot 134.7 USD/Metric Tonne +4.5%
  • CME Lumber  528.50 +.57%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,551.90 -1.6%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 322.50 USD/Short Ton unch.

Economy

  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4Q Forecast +1.25% +6.0 basis points

  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.48 +17.0%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 95.1 +67.2%
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(498 of 500 reporting) +4.4% -.1 percentage point
  • S&P
    500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 242.35 +.28:  Growth
    Rate +9.4% +.1 percentage point, P/E 18.9 unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.11% -2.0 basis points
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +47.7% -2.9 percentage points
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 285.80 +1.34: Growth Rate +34.0% +.6 percentage point, P/E 28.8 -1.2
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 20.3 -5.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -21.0 +2.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.2 +.4 point

  • Fed
    Fund Futures imply .00%(-0.0 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis
    point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 98.2%(-.6 percentage point) chance of no change, 1.8%(+.6 percentage point) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 12/13
  • US Dollar Index 104.01 +.77%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,710.12 -.26%
  • Bitcoin/USD 43,927.5 +10.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 167.26 +.24%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -48.0 -13.5 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.24% +1.0 basis point
  • Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $7.701 Trillion -.75% 
  • Federal Reserve’s Discount Window Usage $2.110 Billion -17.5%
  • Federal Reserve’s Bank Term Funding Program $121.695 Billion +6.9%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 47.70 +1.4%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 185.5 +4.0%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 180.0 +6.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.07 +1.9%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 62.21 +6.7%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 147.89 +1.3%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 109.49 -4.5%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.22 +2.5%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.5 +.14%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 74.20 -1.4%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.9% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.2% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.3% unch.
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.9% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.46% unch.: CPI YoY +3.04% unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.21% -2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 24.5 -1.25 basis points
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -19.5 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -9.0 +3.0 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 61.49 +.24%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 176.0 +5.9
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 377.0 +32.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 76.0 -.8%
  • Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 221.66 -5.2%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 185.22 -1.5%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 149.0 -3.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 952.0 +8.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .83 -5.0 basis points

  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.3% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,251.2 -1.9%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 220,750 +.23%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% -10.0 basis points
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 48.98 +24.8%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.41% -16.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 181,100 +2.8%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +3.0% -90.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -4.0% +2.0 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $132.8M -36.1%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.19/gallon -.06/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 2,495.0 -21.8%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 858.40 +.08%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 -6.7%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 45.2 +90.1%

  • Rail Freight Carloads 272,577 +24.3%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,373,456 +27.3%

Best Performing Style

Worst Performing Style

Leading Sectors

  • Homebuilding +5.4%
  • Regional Banks +3.2%

Lagging Sectors

Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (27)

  • MBI,
    ALXO, SAVA, PARA, NETI, AAOI, ARVN, AX, CLSK, AMBC, UPST, CVNA, LULU,
    AFRM, DOCU, ALLE, QNST, SRRK, DAVA, IMCR, AGO, CARR, INSP, S, SRAD, RBLX
    and ALB

Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (14)

  • MEI, SMAR, CIEN, GTES, MNSO, CRSP, SWBI, MDGL, RH, AGRO, XPOF, HCP, NOVA and MDRX

ETFs

Stocks

*5-Day Change



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