S&P 500 5,142.6 -.3% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- Russell 2000 2,087.1 +.04%
- NYSE FANG+ 9,848.7 -3.1%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 451.9 +5.0%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 167.1 -2.6%
- Wilshire 5000 51,372.5 -.3%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,342.9 -1.4%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,713.5 +1.1%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 797.4 +.95%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 142.3 -.41%
- NYSE Technology 4,793.6 -1.4%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 96.5 +1.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 40.9 +.66%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 202.8 +1.3%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 108.7 -.1%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 491,054 +.94%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 8.7 +74.0%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,666 +731
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -29.8 -15.3%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 224,790 +17.1%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,658,921 -.2%
- Total Put/Call .86 -11.5%
- ISE Sentiment 146.0 +10.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.10 +18.3%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 65.0 -9.1%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.03 -7.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .99 +2.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 15.1 +17.8%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .48 unch.
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 14.2 -2.4%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.91 +3.4%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.39 +4.9%
- Smart Money Flow Index 15,815.9 -1.7%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 94.0 +5.0
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.077 Trillion +.31%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$.243 Million
- AAII % Bears 21.8 +2.4%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 71.0 (Greed) -7.0
Futures Spot Prices
- Crude Oil 78.0/bbl. -2.7%
- Reformulated Gasoline 252.7 -3.3%
- Natural Gas 1.82 -1.3%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 26.4 euros/megawatt-hour +3.3%
- Heating Oil 264.1 -2.3%
- Newcastle Coal 137.0 (1,000/metric ton) +1.5%
- Gold 2,176.0 +4.5%
- Silver 24.31 +5.2%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 417.1 +1.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 379.0 USD/Metric Tonne -8.2%
- China Iron Ore Spot 112.8 USD/Metric Tonne -2.1
%
- CME Lumber 616.50 +3.0%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,462.1 +1.5%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 317.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +2.5% -.5 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.4 +47.2%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 66.7 -9.6%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(495 of 500 reporting) +8.0% +n/a percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 247.67 +n/a: Growth
Rate +11.0% +n/a percentage point, P/E 20.8 +n/a - S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.82% -1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +55.2% +n/a percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 315.58 +n/a: Growth Rate +31.3% +n/a percentage points, P/E 31.8 +n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 27.8 -6.3 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 51.4 +.1 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 14.3 +.6 point
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 3.0%(-1.0 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 97.0%(+1.0 percentage point) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 3/20
- US Dollar Index 102.77 -1.1%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,732.7 +.26%
- Bitcoin/USD 68,624.6 +9.1%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 174.3 -1.0%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -39.75 -4.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.09% -9.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $7.502 Trillion -.39%
- Federal Reserve’s Discount Window Usage $1.978 Billion -10.1%
- Federal Reserve’s Bank Term Funding Program $164.022 Billion +.34%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 38.6 +3.7%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 192.6 +1.7%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 132.0 -16.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 29.2 +.2%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 65.74 +1.5%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 129.8 +3.7%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 117.9 -1.6%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 33.6 +3.0%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.7 -.2%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 87.6 -2.8%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.4% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.6% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.4% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.72% -2.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.11% unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.29% -3.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 7.75 basis points +.5 basis point
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -9.5 -1.0 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.25 -.5 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 49.7 -3.0%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 139.0 -2.8%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 286.0 -7.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 60.2 -6.0%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 192.6 -9.7%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 164.8 +1.1%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 144.0 -11.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 825.0 +2.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .63 unch.
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -2.0% +30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,266.2B -.9%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 212,250 -.35%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% +10.0 basis points
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 52.6 +1.5%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.16% -14.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 188,200 +9.7%
- Weekly Retail Sales +2.80% +10.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -6.0% -4.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $99.5M -10.6%
- Nationwide Gas $3.40/gallon +.07/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,251.0 +2.2%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,287.3/40 ft Box -5.9%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,312.1 -3.0%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 47.5 +11.8%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 49.37 +8.5%
- Rail Freight Carloads 262,732 +1.3%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,568,447 +20.7%
Best Performing Style
Worst Performing Style
Leading Sectors
- Regional Banks +4.1%
- Banks +3.0%
Lagging Sectors
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (20)
- SWBI, SWIN, SLDB, IOT, TPC, OPRA, DQ, CLSK, EHAB, DOCU, SYM, CVNA, VITL, MSTR, COIN, CCL, CUK, GPS, CAVA and UBS
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (26)
- POWL,
VET, TBBK, DELL, CRC, WSM, ERO, KVYO, VKTX, CMPS, PDD, ANF, AVGO, PBPB,
MDB, YY, COST, IEP, PBR, SVV, PBR/A, EOLS, MRVL, MAX, RWAY and MGNX
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change