S&P 500 5,088.8 +1.3% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- Russell 2000 2,016.69 -2.2%
- NYSE FANG+ 10,003.8 +1.4%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 394.6 -4.6%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 155.9 -4.1%
- Wilshire 5000 50,565.9 +.9%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,329.8 +1.2%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,681.0 +1.1%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 793.2 +2.3%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 139.0 -.25%
- NYSE Technology 4,692.2 -1.0%
- Transports 15,921.0 +.09%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 93.3 +1.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 40.50 +1.7%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 199.98 +.48%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 108.7 +.34%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 483,975 -.10%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.0 +96.7%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 1,268 +369
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -22.9 -11.3%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 171,072 +5.7%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,715,587 -5.1%
- ISE Sentiment 142.0 +16.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.39 +6.9%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 72.4 -.8%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.14 +6.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .91 +2.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 13.6 -6.2%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .48 n/a
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 16.3 +1.7%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.69 -6.0%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.40 -3.0%
- Smart Money Flow Index 16,019.2 +1.5%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 74.7 -20.9
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.009 Trillion -.09%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$10.958 Million
- AAII % Bears 26.2 -2.2%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 78.0 (Extreme Greed) +8.0
Futures Spot Prices
- Crude Oil 76.64/bbl. -1.7%
- Reformulated Gasoline 227.8 -1.5%
- Natural Gas 1.59 +.25%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 22.9 euros/megawatt-hour -7.1%
- Heating Oil 268.7 -4.7%
- Newcastle Coal 124.8 (1,000/metric ton) +.9%
- Gold 2,036.2 +1.2%
- Silver 22.94 -2.0%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 410.3 +1.8%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 417.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.24%
- China Iron Ore Spot 119.4 USD/Metric Tonne -6.3
%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,438.9 -1.33%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 317.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +2.9% -.5 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.87 +36.5%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 65.9 -56.3%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(449 of 500 reporting) +6.8% +n/a percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 247.08 +n/a: Growth
Rate +11.9% +n/a percentage point, P/E 20.6 +n/a - S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.83% +163.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +57.2% +13.0 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 313.15 +n/a: Growth Rate +46.8% +n/a percentage points, P/E 32.0 +n/a
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 43.8 +3.4 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 42.0 +7.3 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.3 -2.2 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 2.5%(-7.5 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 97.5%(+7.5 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 3/20
- US Dollar Index 103.93 -.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,727.57 +.14%
- Bitcoin/USD 51,084.9 -1.44%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 176.17 +.71%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -43.5 -7.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.26% -2.0.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $7.545 Trillion -.69%
- Federal Reserve’s Discount Window Usage $2.379 Billion -8.4%
- Federal Reserve’s Bank Term Funding Program $164.231 Billion -.33%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.0 -1.4%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 177.0 -5.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 144.0 -4.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 30.06 -.69%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 63.0 -1.2%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 122.93 -6.3%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 119.3 +3.2%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 31.6 -2.54%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.8 +.73%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 89.30 +4.3%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.4% +10.0 basis points
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.6% -10.0 basis points
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.4% +30.0 basis points
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.74% +8.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.11% +17.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.29% -4.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 10.0 basis points +3.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -13.25 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.5 -.75 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.2 -3.1%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 144.0 -4.1%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 254.0 -17.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 63.3 -5.1%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 206.4 -2.5%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 166.54 -6.1%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 155.0 -5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 832.0 -2.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .65 unch.
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -2.3% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,267.7B +.8%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 215,250 -1.6%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% -10.0 basis points
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 50.4 -2.7%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.32% +1.0 basis point
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 181,600 -10.6%
- Weekly Retail Sales +2.70% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -4.0% +1.0 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross $90.4M +24.5%
- Nationwide Gas $3.27/gallon -.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,752.0 +8.8%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,659.4/40 ft Box -2.0%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,402.2 -3.6%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 47.5 -5.0%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 47.2 +6.7%
- Rail Freight Carloads 253,697 -4.1%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,511,370 +16.3%
Best Performing Style
Worst Performing Style
Leading Sectors
- Medical Equipment +2.3%
- Foods +2.2%
Lagging Sectors
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (25)
- SNBR,
CVNA, SQ, TNDM, LZ, SYRE, FIX, EVH, RBA, H, AGIO, SFM, NAMS, AU, COLL,
SEM, FTAI, ITOS, TCOM, D, ALRM, BROS, HSIC, EME and SBLK
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (20)
- TDOC, KTOS, RLAY, ZIP, IRTC, EGO, OLED, COLD, LUNG, PEN, NWN, MELI, BKNG, RIVN, SMCI, FMX, GH, VICR, FOXF and AAOI
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change