S&P 500 4,783.8 +1.8% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- Russell 2000 1,951.45 -.06%
- NYSE FANG+ 8,755.7 +4.0%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 372.3 -7.7%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 148.4 -3.9%
- Wilshire 5000 47,729.9 +1.7%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,071.5 +3.7%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,615.8 -.2%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 770.3 +1.0%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 136.8 -.75%
- NYSE Technology 4,301.7 +4.0%
- Transports 15,549.0 -.29%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 90.9 -2.3%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 39.27 -.43%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 194.78 +.58%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 107.42 +.07%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 474,623 +.22%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 10.3 +1.3%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 246 +191
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -22.6 +12.0%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 163,729 -17.8%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,586,914 +2.1%
- Total Put/Call .88 -33.0%
- ISE Sentiment 110.0 -32.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.56 +113.9%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 58.4 +.5%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .96 +10.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .56 +16.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.5 -6.4%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .94 +17.6%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 18.2 -11.6%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.70 -4.7%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.45 -5.9%
- Smart Money Flow Index 14,595.7 +2.1%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 80.2 +9.2
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.975 Trillion +.17%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$10.746 Million
- AAII % Bears 24.2 +3.0%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 71.0 (Greed) -2.0
Futures Spot Prices
- Crude Oil 72.76/bbl. -1.5%
- Reformulated Gasoline 212.30 +1.18%
- Natural Gas 3.34 +15.3%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 31.99 euros/megawatt-hour -7.4%
- Heating Oil 267.53 +1.94%
- Newcastle Coal 127.5 (1,000/metric ton) -1.3%
- Gold 2,047.02 +.15%
- Silver 23.15 +.04%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 407.1 -1.0%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 417.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.24%
- China Iron Ore Spot 129.0 USD/Metric Tonne -6.4
%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,474.8 -.87%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 322.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4Q Forecast +2.21% -30.0 basis points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.94 +53.9%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 66.3 -55.1%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(29 of 500 reporting) -7.2% -16.3 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 243.52 +.04: Growth
Rate +11.9% unch., P/E 19.6 +.3 - S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.04% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) +n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 290.84 +.81: Growth Rate +36.3% +.3 percentage point, P/E 30.1 +1.2
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 7.5 +1.4 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -14.8 +16.5 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 9.9 -5.6 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 6.7%(+.5 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 93.3%(-.5 percentage point) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 1/31
- US Dollar Index 102.41 -.08%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,728.42 +.01%
- Bitcoin/USD 43,662.8 -1.7%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 170.82 +.41%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -18.5 +16.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.95% -8.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet $7.650 Trillion +.08%
- Federal Reserve’s Discount Window Usage $2.072 Billion -31.1%
- Federal Reserve’s Bank Term Funding Program $147.175 Billion +4.2%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 45.23 -3.8%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 179.86 -.9%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 155.0 -15.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 36.06 -9.9%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 62.62 -4.3%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 128.4 -9.2%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 120.0 +6.4%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.9 +.01%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.46 +.91%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 85.59 +2.3%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.0% -10.0 basis points
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% -30.0 basis points
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.02% unch.: CPI YoY +2.97% -35.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.28% +5.0 basis points
- TED Spread 22.0 n/a
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -16.5 +.25 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.5 unch.
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 54.9 -8.2%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 156.0 -6.4%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 349.0 +52.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 70.63 -3.7%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 211.56 -5.4%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 174.2 -4.0%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 139.0 -10.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 958.0 -8.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .75 unch.
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.0% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,230.6B +1.3%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 207,750 unch.
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 32.6 +36.3%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.02% +7.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 190,600 +9.9%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.90% +200.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -11.0% -13.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $117.4M n/a
- Nationwide Gas $3.07/gallon -.02/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,540.0 -26.4%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,072.4/40 ft Box +15.1%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,140.31 +21.7%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 45.0 +20.0%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 52.1 +45.5%
- Rail Freight Carloads 209,081 +10.8%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,284,892 +.39%
Best Performing Style
Worst Performing Style
Leading Sectors
- AI/Robotics +7.5%
- Software +5.3%
Lagging Sectors
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (18)
- NLOP, EWTX, CCJ, BRZE, GFI, IDYA, ACMR, DOCU, MELI, INFY, S, TNP, CTSH, INTA, BK, TNP, UTI and CHK
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (14)
- WFC, HUM, UNH, QTRX, AEHR, BIDU, COIN, DAL, AAL, RIOT, MSTR, UAL, HUNT and MARA
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change